Kevin Lee Should Upset Tony Ferguson At UFC 216

Over the past few months, several sports books have Tony Ferguson as a slight favorite to beat Kevin Lee at UFC 216. According to bestfightodds.com, most sportsbooks have Ferguson at around -220 which means a person would’ve bet $220 to win 100. Although he is the favorite, I believe that Kevin Lee has the skill set necessary to pull off the upset at UFC 216.

For about the past two years, Ferguson has shown a tendency to constantly try to walk down his opponents in an attempt to get them into striking range. This trend has helped Ferguson win the all of his UFC fights because his opponents didn’t have the stamina to cut angles in the process of moving backward to avoid any strikes from landing. Due to this, some adversaries are forced to give into his pressure because they would attempt to cut angles and experience early fatigue from a lack of stamina which would put them in a position to have to exchange with him. On the other hand, some opponents concluded that they were better off trading punches with him because they were aware of the fact that they didn’t have the stamina to cut angles. As a result of this, Ferguson would have ample opportunities to get within his striking range and inflict damage on his opponents. During these occasions, he would faint the left hand in an attempt to get the opponent to move their head to the right or momentarily distract them which would open the door for the straight right to land. Furthermore, on occasion, he would run forward and throw a lead left uppercut to make the opponent think about multiple things throughout the fight.

However, Ferguson’s fighting style should play right into the strategy of Kevin Lee because Tony will already be within grappling range. As a result of this, Lee can drop down to shoot for a single or double leg takedown without having to waste energy trying to get the opponent into grappling range. If he gets a firm grasp of the legs Lee will try to complete the takedown in open space or push him to the fence to reattempt the takedown. Lee should maintain this strategy during the early rounds as it will keep him active while at the same time limiting Ferguson’s attack and draining his energy.

 

Donald Cerrone’s Fighting Style Should Prevent Him From Beating Robbie Lawler

Even though many MMA fans and media expect Donald Cerrone versus Robbie Lawler to be a competitive fight, that shouldn’t be the case. Throughout his UFC career, Donald Cerrone has shown a tendency to constantly try to walk down his opponents in an attempt to get them into striking range. This trend has helped Cerrone win the majority of his UFC fights because his opponents didn’t have the stamina to cut angles in the process of moving backward to avoid any strikes from landing. Due to this, some adversaries are forced to give into his pressure because they would attempt to cut angles and experience early fatigue from a lack of stamina which would put them in a position to have to exchange with him. On the other hand, some opponents came to the conclusion that they were better off trading punches with him because they were aware of the fact that they didn’t have the stamina to cut angles. As a result of this, Cerrone would have ample opportunities to get within his striking range and inflict damage on his opponents. During these occasions, he would mainly throw a right leg kick followed up by a left kick to the body or a left jab with an occasional left head kick mixed in.

Although this strategy has given Cerrone so much success, there are a few flaws within this strategy that can be easily exploited by Robbie Lawler. For instance, when he would try to walk down his opponents Cerrone would always carry his hands at chest height. As a result, he would leave his head and body wide open to be countered. Due to this, Robbie will have the opportunity to land the straight left and the left or right body kick without much resistance from Cerrone. This is because he believes his chin is firm enough to withstand the counters from the opponents; While he applies constant pressure in hopes of getting the opponents to waste a substantial amount of energy trying to create distance between the two that he is going to wear down eventually. Unfortunately, Cerrone’s mentality will lead to an early demise against Lawler.