The Minnesota Vikings Should Fall Short Of Super Bowl Expectations (2018)

Introduction

Over the past two months, NFL pundits have repeatedly stated that the Minnesota Vikings made the right decision in signing Kirk Cousins to a three-year, 84 million dollar contract. In fact, former Vikings wide receiver and the co-host of First Things First, Cris Carter stated that the team made the right decision because “Kirk Cousins is the final piece to propel the Vikings to a Super Bowl.” However, this is not the case as Cousins should be the catalyst for the Vikings to fall short of their super bowl expectations.

When an organization decides to invest a large sum of money into the quarterback position, the quarterback will immediately become the focal point of the offense. This is because the organization wants to give the quarterback as many opportunities as possible to prove that their investment in him was the right decision. Due to this, the team would call a lot of passing plays to give him a chance to demonstrate that he is a franchise quarterback and is capable of making all the necessary throws to lead the team to victory. While it is reasonable to expect an organization to give their new investment many opportunities to prove themselves at a certain point, it will affect the performance of the rest of the team. For instance, if Allen gets the chance to throw a lot, the offense will spend less time on the field because of incompletions, interceptions or sacks that result in short drives. As a result, the defense would have to go back on the field without the proper amount of rest which leads to the unit being more susceptible to giving up yards and points. Since they would be unable regain some energy between possessions to be able to stop the opposing offense.

Kirk Cousins in Washington

A perfect example of this is how the role of Kirk Cousins within the offense changed after the Washington Redskins applied the franchise tag in 2016. Throughout the 2015 season, the Washington Redskins decided to implement an offensive system that was centered around the running game and the play-action passing game. For instance, during the first two downs of a series, Kirk Cousins would hand the ball off to Alfred Morris or Matt Jones in an attempt to force the opposing team to stack the box and set up a manageable third down. If the strategy was successful, the Redskins called a play action pass where Kirk would fake the handoff and go in the opposite direction to throw the ball to the flat or the crossing route fifteen yards downfield. However, on occasion, Kirk would fake the handoff to freeze the defense momentarily that allowed the receivers to get some separation as they try to complete a slant, in or out route. As a result of this, the Redskins offense was able to stay on the field for a more extended period, which means that the opposing team had less time to feast on their defense. In fact, according to teamrankings.com, the Redskins offense was on the field for an average of “31:29” thus the defense was only on the field for 28:31. Due to this philosophy, the Washington Redskins won the NFC East with a 9-7 record.

However, it was an entirely different story over the next two seasons because the team made wholesale changes to the offensive system. This is because the organization wanted to see if he could lead the team to victory while being the focal point of the offense before giving him a big contract. As a result, the Redskins went from a run-heavy offense to more of a passing offense to evaluate his decision making; and ability to make all the throws without having the running game to preoccupy the defense. For instance, the Redskins dialed back on the play action bootlegs where he would fake the handoff to the running backs and roll out in the opposite direction to hit the wide open receiver. In place of the conservative offense, they decided to call the traditional three to five step drop passing plays to gauge whether Cousins can make the right decision with the football when the defense is ready for a pass. For instance, Kirk would take a 3 to 5 step drop from under center and proceed to throw the ball to a receiver on a curl, crossing and corner routes as well as screens.

Although it is reasonable to expect a team to give their potential investment many opportunities to prove that he deserves a long-term commitment at a certain point, it will affect the performance of the rest of the team. Since the team had Kirk Cousins throw the ball a lot, the offense spent less time on the field because of incompletions, interceptions, sacks or big plays that result in short drives. As a result, the defense went back on the field without the proper amount of rest which led the defense to be more susceptible to giving up yards and points. Since they would be unable regain some energy between possessions to be able to stop the opposing offense. In fact, according to teamrankings.com, the Redskins offense was on the field for an average of “29:36” thus the defense was on the field for 31:24. Unfortunately, over these two years, the team compiled a record of 15-16 with one tie, and they failed to make the playoffs.

Minnesota Vikings

As a result of this, the Minnesota Vikings should experience a significant change to the offensive system. During the 2017 season, the team implemented an offensive system centered around the running and short passing game. For example, Case Keenum would give the football to the running backs on first and second down in an attempt to get the defense to stack the box. If the strategy were successful, Case would line up in shotgun formation to throw the ball to receivers on a crossing, corner, curl or out route. The game plan allowed Minnesota to consistently move the chains and stay on the field for long periods of time. According to teamrankings.com, the unit was on the field for 32:07 which meant the defense was able to get plenty of rest between defensive possessions. Unfortunately, the Vikings are going to feature more of the passing game in 2018 because of the substantial commitment to Kirk Cousins. The expected change in the offensive system should increase the likelihood that the defensive unit spends more time on the field. The extra wear and tear should cost the team a game or two during the regular season which should alter the race for home-field advantage.

The Greatest Of All Time: A Term That Should Not Be Used In Team Sports

Introduction

Over the last two to three decades, sports pundits have been on a quest to determine which athlete is deserving of the moniker greatest of all time. For instance, Emmanuel Altenor formerly of Bleacher Report stated that we’ve seen many great players throughout NBA history “but which players in the game’s history stand out above the rest?”. However, one can argue that it is impossible to determine who is the greatest of all time because a substantial amount of players were subjected to different systems and responsibilities. Those responsibilities fundamentally altered how they approached their respective sport. A perfect example of this is Jason Kidd and Chris Paul; they are regarded as two of the greatest point guards in NBA history. Unfortunately, it is impossible to accurately compare them because they spent the majority of their careers in two different systems.

Jason Kidd

Throughout the NBA career of Jason Kidd, he had to play in offensive systems centered around ball movement. During his tenure with the New Jersey Nets, Kidd would bring the basketball up to the three-point line and passes the basketball to a big man in the high post area. Once this happened, the big man would analyze the defense to determine the next course of action. For instance, if the defense double covers the player posting up in the low post, he would enter a dribble handoff with a perimeter player. On the other hand, if the defense single covers the player posting up in the low post, he would dump the ball into the low block to start the process of shooting the ball. Another example of this is his tenure with the Phoenix Suns, Kidd would bring the ball up to the three-point line and pass the basketball to a teammate. Once this happens, the teammate will analyze how the defender chooses to defend him. If the defender gives him space, he will shoot the mid-range jumper.  On the other hand, if the defender plays him tight, the teammate will give the ball to another player who is going to restart the process of analyzing the defender. The process would continue until they found an open shot or the shot clock wound down. Due to this, Jason Kidd found himself standing behind the three-point line as a bystander or running all over the court trying to get open. The only time Jason had an opportunity to dominate the game was when the opposing team missed a shot. Once this happened, his team got the rebound and gave the ball to him to start the process of a fast break. During the fast break, Jason Kidd threw an outlet pass down court or ran down the middle of the court to get the attention of the defense. If this occurs, he will look to kick the basketball out to one of the players running down the wing.  On the other hand, if it doesn’t happen, he will continue driving to the basket looking to get around the defender for an open shot or draw a foul.

 

 

Chris Paul

On the other hand, Chris Paul got the opportunity to play in offensive systems centered around the pick and roll as well as post ups. For instance, Paul would bring the ball up to the three-point line and then a big man would set a screen. Once the pick was set Paul would pay attention to his defender to determine the next course of action, for instance, if the defender went under the screen, Paul would go over it and take the wide open shot. On the other hand, if the defender went over the screen, Paul would go over it as well and drive towards the basket where he would score or pass the ball to the player next to him or to the perimeter depending on whether he was double teamed or not. However there were instances where Chris Paul would throw the ball into the mid to low block for a post up. For instance, Chris would bring the ball up to the three-point line and passes it to another perimeter player. The second perimeter player would immediately give the ball to him to dump it into the low post.  Once that happens, the big man will attempt to back down the defender with one of his shoulders to get within comfortable range to shoot a jump hook. Another example of this is when Paul would bring the basketball up to the three-point line and passes the basketball to a big man in the high post area. Once this happened, the big man would analyze the defense to determine the next course of action. For instance,  If the defender gave him a few feet of space, he would pull up to shoot the wide-open mid-range jumper. On the other hand, if the defender played him tight, he will attempt to drive towards the basket for an easy basket, to draw a foul or attract a double team.

Conclusion

Due to the difference in systems, Chris Paul has averaged more points and assists per game than Jason Kidd during his career. According to Basketball-Reference,  Paul averages 18.7 points per game and 9.8 assists per game. On the other hand, Kidd averaged 12.6 points per game and 8.7 assists per game. As a result, people should only compare great players who played the same position in the same system.

The Kansas City Chiefs Conundrum: Patrick Mahomes’s Individual Success Vs Team Success

Over the past five seasons, the Kansas City Chiefs have implemented an offensive system centered around the running and short passing game. The system would allow the team to constantly exploit the weakness of their opponent. For instance, if the Kansas City Chiefs were playing a team with a below average passing defense, they would feature a heavy dose of the short passing game. On the other hand, if the Chiefs were playing a team with a below average rushing defense, they would feature a heavy dose of the running game. A perfect example of this is the 2015 AFC Wild Card game against the Houston Texans; the Texans were 20th in passing defense allowing  243.1 yards per game. As a result, the team decided to design a game plan around the short passing game to take advantage of the below average passing defense. For example, Alex Smith would receive the ball from the center and throw it immediately to a receiver on a curl, out or screen route. The game plan allowed Kansas City to consistently move the chains and stay on the field for long periods of time. According to ESPN, the unit was on the field for 34:25 against the Houston Texans. As a result, the defense was able to get plenty of rest between defensive possessions.

However, the Kansas City Chiefs are going to make some changes to their offensive system this upcoming season. The team is expected to dial back the short passing game in favor of the intermediate to deep passing game. This is because Patrick Mahomes has a habit of holding the ball for a couple of seconds to allow the receivers to get downfield. For example, during week 17 against the Denver Broncos, he lined up about five yards behind the center with a running back beside him and a two to four wide receiver set. After the play begins, he held the ball for a couple of seconds to allow the receivers to get eight to twelve yards downfield. Once this happened, Patrick repeatedly threw the ball to receivers on crossing, curl or out routes. Although the change will increase the chances of significant plays happening to lead to quick scores; It opens the door for the team to have the ball for less time because of a quick touchdown, 3 and out or turnover. As a consequence of this, the defense was forced to go back on the field without the proper amount of rest. Due to this,  the unit giving up more yards and points late in the game because they were not able to regain energy between possessions to be able to stop the opposing offense. In fact, according to ESPN,  the unit was on the field for 30:57 against the Denver Broncos. Furthermore,  the Kansas City Chiefs defense surrendered fourteen points in the fourth quarter to the Broncos offense.

In conclusion, the Kansas City Chiefs are about to go down the path of overexposing the defense to make sure that Patrick Mahomes is in the best position to succeed. As a result of this, he should have a great personal year, but the team should struggle to win games.

The Term Bust Should Not Be Used In Professional Sports

Over the past two to three decades, professional sports pundits have used the term bust to describe players who failed to live up to pre-draft expectations. For instance, Sports Illustrated labeled Tim Couch one of the biggest busts of all time because he “threw for a miserable 11,571 yards, 64 touchdowns and 67 interceptions in five injury-plagued seasons”. However, it is unfair to label Couch a bust when the Cleveland Browns didn’t put him in the best position to succeed. Tim played for the University of Kentucky in college who implemented an offensive system centered around the shotgun formation. For example, he lined up about five yards behind the center with one or two running backs beside him and a two to four wide receiver set. Once the ball is snapped, Couch looked to get rid of the ball immediately to a receiver running a screen, curl, in and out route or to the flats. However, there were some instances where Tim was under center to hand the ball off to the running backs.

Unfortunately, when Tim Couch arrived in Cleveland, the Browns coaching staff led by Butch Davis told him to take the majority of his snaps from under center. This is because most NFL organizations want their quarterback to learn how to play in a pro-style offense. A pro-style offense requires that the quarterback take a substantial amount of the snaps directly from under center. The change in the offensive system led to the downward spiral in Tim Couch’s career because he never developed the ability to sense when a defender was coming from the blind side. For instance, every time Couch dropped back to pass from under center; he was constantly moving his feet because he always thought a defender was nearby. As a result, a lot of Tim’s passes were inaccurate because he was scared to plant his feet which would have helped with the velocity and accuracy of his throws. However on the occasion when he was in shotgun formation, Couch would often plant his feet and deliver a firm throw because he was in his comfort zone. According to pro-football-reference, Tim Couch only completed 58.27 percent of his passes from under center. On the other hand, he completed 62.54 percent of his passes from shotgun formation. Therefore, if the Cleveland Browns would have implemented a system similar to Kentucky, Tim Couch would’ve been more successful and avoided the bust label.

Unfortunately, the term bust has transitioned into NBA discussions as sports pundits have called Lonzo Ball a bust after one season. Stephen A. Smith of ESPN called Lonzo a bust because he wasn’t aggressive enough and could not shoot the ball from a distance. However, it is unfair to label Ball a bust when the Los Angeles Lakers haven’t put him in the best position to succeed. Throughout his basketball career, Lonzo Ball has been described as a player who possesses excellent court vision and passing ability. According to DraftExpress, “Ball showed he has the vision, timing, accuracy, and overall foundation to eventually make every read necessary at the NBA level… and locate shooters”. Due to this, he needs to be on a team where he would be the primary ball handler; and is allowed to analyze the defense to determine what is the right pass. For instance, the traditional pick and roll offense would be an ideal system for him because he can bring the ball up to the three-point line and ask for a screen. Once the pick was set Ball can pay attention to his defender to determine the next course of action, for instance, if the defender went under the screen, Ball can go over it and take the wide open shot. On the other hand, if the defender went over the screen, Ball can go over it as well and drive towards the basket where he can score or pass the ball to the player next to him or to the perimeter depending on whether he was double teamed or not.

However, it is unlikely that Lonzo Ball will not reach his full potential as an NBA player while playing for the Los Angeles Lakers.This is because the Lakers have implemented an offensive system that is centered around ball movement. For instance, the point guard will bring the ball up to the three-point line and passes it to another player. Once this happens, the second player will give it to a third player and the third player will call for a screen. Once the pick was set, the third player can pay attention to his defender to determine the next course of action, for instance, if the defender went under the screen, the third player can go over it and take the open shot. On the other hand, if the defender went over the screen, the third player can go over it as well and drive towards the basket where he can score or pass the ball to the player next to him or to the perimeter depending on whether he was double teamed or not.

But, there are occasions when the Los Angeles Lakers send a big man in the low block to post up. For instance, the point guard will bring the ball up to the three-point line and passes it to a big man in the low post area. Once that happens, the big man will attempt to back down the defender with one of his shoulders to get within comfortable range to shoot a jump hook. Another example of this is when the point guard will bring the ball up to the three-point line and passes it to another perimeter player. The second perimeter will either dump the ball into the post or give it to a third perimeter player, and he will throw it into the low to mid-block to start the process of attempting to get a jump hook. As a result of this, Lonzo will primarily be in a spot-up shooter role which diminishes the impact he can have on games by passing the basketball.

In conclusion, the term bust shouldn’t be used in sports because the success of a player is dependent on whether NFL/NBA coaches are willing to analyze a player’s skill set. If they do, the coaches must take the information gathered and design a system meant to emphasize the strengths of the player. On the other hand, if they don’t, the player will be set up to fail.